UPDATED: 09-09-26 19:20 PDT

stick SIU Edwardsvil
  
SIU Edwardsville      
W-L: ( 3- 8) PR = 91.4016

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 213 A North Alabama AS (30-29, 93.4) 1- 8 213 A North Alabama AS (30-29, 93.4) 1- 3 214 A North Alabama AS (30-29, 93.4) 2- 1 306 H Georgia State SB (26-30, 93.6) 5- 7 307 A Kansas State B12 (30-27, 96.6) 4- 8 308 A Kansas State B12 (30-27, 96.6) 7-20 414 A Illinois B10 (27-27, 95.1) 4-16 421 A Missouri SEC (21-31, 94.5) 11- 5 521 H Little Rock OV (16-12, 93.9) 4- 3 522 H Eastern Illinois OV ( 8- 7, 93.8) 2- 3 523 H Little Rock OV (16-12, 93.9) 5- 7

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   213 A North Alabama           1- 8      -7    -3    --    -4.32
   213 A North Alabama           1- 3      -2    -3           0.68
   214 A North Alabama           2- 1       1    -3    +      3.68
   306 H Georgia State           5- 7      -2    -2          -0.44
   307 A Kansas State            4- 8      -4    -6           1.89
   308 A Kansas State            7-20     -13    -6    ---   -7.11
   414 A Illinois                4-16     -12    -4    ---   -7.58
   421 A Missouri               11- 5       6    -4    +++    9.78
   521 H Little Rock             4- 3       1    -2    +      2.86
   522 H Eastern Illinois        2- 3      -1    -2           0.72
   523 H Little Rock             5- 7      -2    -2          -0.14

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   308 A Kansas State            7-20     -13    -6    ---   -7.11
   414 A Illinois                4-16     -12    -4    ---   -7.58
   213 A North Alabama           1- 8      -7    -3    --    -4.32

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   421 A Missouri               11- 5       6    -4    +++    9.78
   214 A North Alabama           2- 1       1    -3    +      3.68
   521 H Little Rock             4- 3       1    -2    +      2.86

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 28.92

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   3 A North Alabama   (30-29, 93.4)     1- 8       -6.50      11.93       0.68         2.63            -7.65
   3 A North Alabama   (30-29, 93.4)     1- 3       -6.50      11.93       0.68         2.63            -7.65
   3 A North Alabama   (30-29, 93.4)     2- 1       -6.50      11.93       0.68         2.63            66.28
   3 H Georgia State   (26-30, 93.6)     5- 7       -6.26      12.16      -0.68         2.63            -9.12
   3 A Kansas State    (30-27, 96.6)     4- 8       -3.28      15.14       0.68         2.63            -3.43
   3 A Kansas State    (30-27, 96.6)     7-20       -3.28      15.14       0.68         2.63            -3.43
   3 A Illinois        (27-27, 95.1)     4-16       -4.75      13.67       0.68         2.63            -5.36
   3 A Missouri        (21-31, 94.5)    11- 5       -5.40      13.03       0.68         2.63            72.06
   3 H Little Rock     (16-12, 93.9)     4- 3       -5.97      12.46      -0.68         2.63            61.97
   3 H Eastern Illino  ( 8- 7, 93.8)     2- 3       -6.10      12.32      -0.68         2.63            -8.91
   3 H Little Rock     (16-12, 93.9)     5- 7       -5.97      12.46      -0.68         2.63            -8.73
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       146.02

winning pts = 200.3041 losing points = -54.2868

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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